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The most recent version of this article was published on 1 September 2006

Gut. Published Online First: 30 June 2005. doi:10.1136/gut.2005.064774
Copyright © 2005 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Society of Gastroenterology.

Paper

Cost-effectiveness of interferon {alpha} or peginterferon {alpha} with ribavirin for histologically mild chronic hepatitis C

Richard Grieve 1*, Jennifer Roberts 1, Mark Wright 2, Mike Sweeting 3, Daniela DeAngelis 4, William Rosenberg 5, Margaret Bassendine 6, Janice Main 2 and Howard Thomas 2

1 LSHTM, United Kingdom
2 Imperial College, United Kingdom
3 MRC Biostatistics Unit, United Kingdom
4 Health Protection Agency, United Kingdom
5 University Of Southampton, United Kingdom
6 Medical School, Newcastle upon-Tyne, United Kingdom

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: richard.grieve{at}lshtm.ac.uk.

Accepted 26 April 2005


Abstract

Background: For patients with mild chronic hepatitis C the cost-effectiveness of antiviral therapy is unknown.

Aims: To assess whether anti-viral therapy (either interferon {alpha} or peginterferon {alpha} combined with ribavirin) is cost-effective at a mild stage compared to waiting and only treating those cases who progress to moderate disease.

Patients: Cases with mild chronic hepatitis C.

Methods: A cost-effectiveness model estimates long- term costs and outcomes for patients with mild chronic hepatitis C. The model uses effectiveness and cost data from the UK mild hepatitis C RCT, combined with estimates of disease progression and cost from observational studies.

Results: For patients with genotype non-1 antiviral treatment at a mild rather than a moderate stage improved outcomes measured by Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) gained. The mean cost per QALY gained from antiviral treatment with interferon {alpha}-2b and ribavirin, compared to no treatment, was £5,285 ($8,284). For these patients treatment at a mild stage with peginterferon {alpha}-2b and ribavirin rather than interferon {alpha}-2b and ribavirin, led to further additional QALYS; the average cost per QALY gained was £21,155 ($33,158). For patients with genotype 1, interferon {alpha}-2b and ribavirin treatment for mild disease only led to a sustained virological response (SVR) for 18% of cases and was not cost-effective.

Conclusions: For patients with chronic hepatitis C and genotype non-1, antiviral treatment compared to no treatment at a mild stage, is cost-effective. For patients with genotype 1, antiviral therapy at a mild disease stage is not cost-effective.

Keywords: antiviral therapy, cost analysis, cost-effectiveness model


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