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The most recent version of this article was published on 1 May 2007

Gut. Published Online First: 24 November 2006. doi:10.1136/gut.2005.089722
Copyright © 2006 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Society of Gastroenterology.

Paper

Predicting response to peginterferon alfa-2a, lamivudine and the two combined for HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B

Ferruccio Bonino 1*, P Marcellin 2, G KK Lau 3, S Hadziyannis 4, R Jin 5, T Piratvisuth 6, G Germanidis 7, C Yurdaydin 8, M Diago 9, S Gurel 10, M-Y Lai 11, M Brunetto 12, P Farci 13, M Popescu 14 and P McCloud 15

1 Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico, Italy
2 INSERM Unite 481, France
3 The University of Hong Kong, China
4 Henry Dunant Hospital, Greece
5 Beijing You An Hospital, China
6 Prince of Songkla University, Thailand
7 Papageorgiou General Hospital, Greece
8 University of Ankara, Turkey
9 Hospital General Universitario de Valencia, Spain
10 University of Uludag, Turkey
11 National Taiwan University Hospital, Taiwan
12 Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Pisana, Italy
13 Universita di Cagliari, Italy
14 Roche, Switzerland
15 Roche, Australia

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: bonino{at}med-club.com.

Accepted 10 October 2006


Abstract

Background and aims: In a trial of patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic hepatitis B, 24-week post-treatment biochemical and virologic response rates with peginterferon alfa-2a ± lamivudine were significantly higher than with lamivudine alone. The effect of pre-treatment factors on post-treatment responses has been investigated.

Patients and methods: Multivariate analyses were performed using available data from 518 patients treated with peginterferon alfa-2a monotherapy ± lamivudine, or lamivudine monotherapy. A post-treatment response was defined as alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalisation and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA <20,000 copies/mL.

Results: In logistic regression analyses across all treatment arms, peginterferon alfa-2a (± lamivudine) therapy, younger age, female gender, high baseline ALT, low baseline HBV DNA and HBV genotype were identified as significant predictors of combined response 24 weeks post-treatment. In the peginterferon alfa-2a and lamivudine monotherapy arms, patients infected with genotypes B or C had a higher chance of response than genotype D infected patients (p<0.001), the latter responding better to combination than peginterferon alfa-2a monotherapy (p=0.015). At 1 year post-treatment, response rates by intention-to-treat analysis were 19.2% for peginterferon alfa-2a, 19.0% for combination, and 10.0% for lamivudine-treatment groups, with genotypes B or C associated with a sustained combined response to peginterferon alfa-2a ±lamivudine therapy.

Conclusions: Baseline ALT and HBV DNA levels, patient age, gender, and infecting HBV genotype significantly influenced combined response 24 weeks post-treatment, in patients treated with peginterferon alfa-2a and/or lamivudine. At 1 year post-treatment HBV genotype was significantly predictive of efficacy for patients treated with peginterferon alfa-2a ±lamivudine.

Keywords: antiviral agents, chronic hepatitis B, multivariate, post-treatment, predictor


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