Elsevier

The Lancet

Volume 340, Issue 8825, 17 October 1992, Pages 925-929
The Lancet

ORIGINAL ARTICLES
Role of glucose and insulin resistance in development of type 2 diabetes mellitus: results of a 25-year follow-up study

https://doi.org/10.1016/0140-6736(92)92814-VGet rights and content

Abstract

Type 2 diabetes mellitus is characterised by resistance of peripheral tissues to insulin and a relative deficiency of insulin secretion. To find out which is the earliest or primary determinant of disease, we used a minimum model of glucose disposal and insulin secretion based on intravenous glucose tolerance tests to estimate insulin sensitivity (SI), glucose effectiveness (ie, insulin-independent glucose removal rate, SG), and first-phase and second-phase beta-cell responsiveness in normoglycaemic offspring of couples who both had type 2 diabetes. 155 subjects from 86 families were followed-up for 6-25 years. More than 10 years before the development of diabetes, subjects who developed the disease had lower values of both SI (mean 3·2 [SD 2·4] vs 8·1 [6·7] 10-3 I min-1 pmol-1 insulin; p<0·0001) and SG (1·6 [0·9] vs 2·3 [1·2] 10-2 min-1, p<0·0001) than did those who remained normoglycaemic). For the subjects with both SI and SG below the group median, the cumulative incidence of type 2 diabetes during the 25 years was 76% (95% confidence interval 54-99). By contrast, no subject with both SI and SG above the median developed the disease. Subjects with low SI/high SG or high SI/low SG had intermediate risks. Insulin secretion, especially first phase, tended to be increased rather than decreased in this prediabetic phase and was appropriate for the level of insulin resistance. The development of type 2 diabetes is preceded by and predicted by defects in both insulin-dependent and insulin-independent glucose uptake; the defects are detectable when the patients are normoglycaemic and in most cases more than a decade before diagnosis of disease.

References (32)

  • Ws Hoffman

    A rapid photoelectric method for determination of glucose in blood and urine

    J Biol Chem

    (1937)
  • Ss Rich

    Mapping genes in diabetes

    Diabetes

    (1990)
  • Gm Reaven

    Role of insulin resistance in human disease

    Diabetes

    (1988)
  • Ra DeFronzo

    The triumvirate: beta-cell, muscle, liver: a collusion responsible for NIDDM

    Diabetes

    (1988)
  • D. Porte et al.

    Hyperproinsulinemia and amyloid in NIDDM

    Diabetes

    (1989)
  • Wc Knowler et al.

    Diabetes mellitus in the Pima Indians: incidence, risk factors and pathogenesis

    Diabetes/Metab Rev

    (1990)
  • Rw Bergstrom et al.

    Association of elevated fasting C-peptide level and increased intra-abdominal fat distribution with development of NIDDM in Japanese-American men

    Diabetes

    (1990)
  • Sm Haffner et al.

    Incidence of type II diabetes in Mexican Americans predicted by fasting insulin and glucose levels, obesity and body-fat distribution

    Diabetes

    (1990)
  • Jh Warram et al.

    Slow glucose-removal rate and hyperinsulinaemia precede the development of type II diabetes in offspring with diabetic parents

    Ann Intern Med

    (1990)
  • Rn Bergman

    Toward physiological understanding of glucose tolerance: minimal model approach

    Diabetes

    (1989)
  • Rn Bergman et al.

    Physiologic evaluation of factors controlling glucose tolerance in man

    J Clin Invest

    (1981)
  • Rn Bergman et al.

    Equivalence of the insulin sensitivity index in man derived by the minimal model method and the euglycemic glucose clamp

    J Clin Invest

    (1987)
  • National Diabetes Data Group

    Classification and diagnosis of diabetes mellitus and other categories of glucose tolerance

    Diabetes

    (1979)
  • Ah Kadish et al.

    A new and rapid method for the determination of glucose by measurement of rate of oxygen consumption

    Clin Chem

    (1968)
  • Js Soeldner et al.

    Critical variables in the radioimmunoassay of serum insulin using the double antibody technique

    Diabetes

    (1965)
  • Cited by (1061)

    View all citing articles on Scopus
    View full text