Table 2

Summary of estimated cancer risks

Unstratified dataStratified data
All patients (116 studies)Total UC
(35 studies)
All patients (41 studies)Total UC
(26 studies)
Children
(5 studies)
All patients
(19 studies)
Total UC
(6 studies)
Overall cancer prevalence (%)3.75.4
(3.2–4.2)(4.4–6.5)
Cancer incidence rate at 10 years/1000 pyd3/10004/10006/10002/10002/1000
(2 to 4/1000)(3 to 6/1000)(3 to 13/1000)(1 to 2 /1000)(1 to 4/1000)
Cumulative cancer risk (%) at 10 years34.45.51.62.1
(2.2–3.8)(2.0–6.8)(2.5–12.3)(1.2–2)(1.0–3.2)
Cancer incidence rate at 20 years/1000 pyd3/10004/10006/10007/10007/1000
(2 to 4/1000)(3 to 6/1000)(3 to 13/1000)(4 to12 /1000)(3 to 14/1000)
Cumulative cancer risk (%) at 20 years5.98.610.88.38.5
(4.3–7.4)(4.0–13.3)(4.8–23.1)(4.8–11.7)(3.8–13.3)
Cancer incidence rate at 30 years/1000 pyd3/10004/10006/100012/100011/1000
(2 to 4/1000)(3 to 6/1000)(3 to 13/1000)(7 to19 /1000)(4 to 28/1000)
Cumulative cancer risk (%) at 30 years8.712.715.718.417.8
(6.4–10.9)(6.0–19.3)(7.2–32.6)(15.3–21.5)(8.3–27.4)
  • Values are mean (95% confidence intervals).

  • pyd, person years duration.