Potential effects of bias on final estimates | ||||||||||
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Evidence | Incidence/AR ClassSources | Indigenous (%) ClassSources | Foodborne (%) ClassSources | Presenting to GPs (%) ClassSources | Hospital admissions (%) ClassSources | Hospital bed days (mean) ClassSources | Deaths (%) ClassSources | Principal assumption | Cases | Total burden |
Total burden includes cases, healthcare usage, and deaths. | ||||||||||
Data sources are from box 1 (see text). | ||||||||||
*VTEC O157 data. | ||||||||||
†Shigella spp data. | ||||||||||
‡Cryptosporidium parvum data. | ||||||||||
§All known pathogens. | ||||||||||
n/c, not calculated; nia, not indigenous acquired; nft, no foodborne transmission. AR, ascertainment ratio—ratio of the estimated number of cases of illness in the population due to specific pathogens to the number of laboratory reports in the national database for laboratory confirmed infections; | ||||||||||
NLV, Norwalk-like viruses; SLV, Sappora-like viruses; VTEC, verocytotoxin producing Escherichia coli. | ||||||||||
Bacteria | ||||||||||
Aeromonas spp | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | InferredK | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | Foodborne % | Moderate | Negligible |
Bacillus spp | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Minor | Negligible |
Campylobacter spp | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredG | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredG | MeasuredG | InferredK | Deaths % | Major | Major |
Clostridium perfringens | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Moderate | Moderate |
Cl difficile cytotoxin | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | — | Negligible | Negligible |
VTEC O157 | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredI | MeasuredB | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredI,J | MeasuredD | MeasuredI,J | Incidence | Negligible | Moderate |
Non O157 VTEC | Inferred*J | Inferred* | Inferred* | Inferred* | Inferred* | Inferred* | Inferred* | Incidence | Negligible | Negligible |
Other Escherichia coli | MeasuredA,F | Inferred† | Inferred† | MeasuredF | MeasuredD | MeasuredD | MeasuredD | Pathogenicity | Major | Moderate |
Listeria monocytogenes | ExtrapolatedH | MeasuredH | InferredK | ExtrapolatedH | MeasuredH | MeasuredD | MeasuredH | Incidence | Negligible | Moderate |
Salmonellas non-typhoidal | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Moderate | Major |
S paratyphi | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredA | InferredK | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredD | MeasuredD | InferredK | Incidence | Negligible | Negligible |
S enterica typhi | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredA | InferredK | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredD | MeasuredD | InferredK | Incidence | Negligible | Negligible |
Shigella spp | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Minor | Negligible |
Staphylococcus aureus | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Minor | Negligible |
Vibrio cholerae O1/O139 | ExtrapolatedA | MeasuredA | n/c-nia | n/c-nia | n/c-nia | n/c-nia | n/c-nia | — | None | None |
V cholerae non O1/O139 | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | InferredK | MeasuredF | InferredK | MeasuredD | InferredK | Foodborne % | Negligible | Negligible |
Other vibrio species | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | InferredK | MeasuredF | InferredK | MeasuredD | InferredK | Foodborne % | Negligible | Negligible |
Yersinia spp | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | InferredK | MeasuredF | InferredK | MeasuredD | InferredK | Pathogenicity | Major | Moderate |
Parasites | ||||||||||
Cryptosporidium parvum | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Minor | Minor |
Cyclospora cayatenensis | InferredK | MeasuredA | InferredK | Inferred‡ | InferredK | Inferred‡ | InferredK | Incidence | Negligible | Negligible |
Giardia duodenalis | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | InferredK | MeasuredF | MeasuredD | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | Foodborne % | Negligible | Negligible |
Viruses | ||||||||||
Adenovirus 40/41 | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | — | Negligible | Negligible |
Astrovirus | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Negligible | Negligible |
NLV | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Major | Moderate |
Rotavirus | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | — | Moderate | Moderate |
SLV | MeasuredA,F | MeasuredA | MeasuredB | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | n/c-nft | — | Moderate | Moderate |
Unknown agents | MeasuredA,C,F | Inferred§ | MeasuredB | MeasuredF | MeasuredB | MeasuredD | MeasuredB | Indigenous % | Major | Major |