Table 3

Classification of evidence used, sources of data, and the effects of assumptions made and bias on final estimates

Potential effects of bias on final estimates
EvidenceIncidence/AR ClassSourcesIndigenous (%) ClassSourcesFoodborne (%) ClassSourcesPresenting to GPs (%) ClassSourcesHospital admissions (%) ClassSourcesHospital bed days (mean) ClassSourcesDeaths (%) ClassSourcesPrincipal assumptionCasesTotal burden
Total burden includes cases, healthcare usage, and deaths.
Data sources are from box 1 (see text).
*VTEC O157 data.
Shigella spp data.
Cryptosporidium parvum data.
§All known pathogens.
n/c, not calculated; nia, not indigenous acquired; nft, no foodborne transmission.
AR, ascertainment ratio—ratio of the estimated number of cases of illness in the population due to specific pathogens to the number of laboratory reports in the national database for laboratory confirmed infections;
NLV, Norwalk-like viruses; SLV, Sappora-like viruses; VTEC, verocytotoxin producing Escherichia coli.
Bacteria
    Aeromonas sppMeasuredA,FMeasuredAInferredKn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftFoodborne %ModerateNegligible
    Bacillus sppMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBMinorNegligible
    Campylobacter sppMeasuredA,FMeasuredGMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredGMeasuredGInferredKDeaths %MajorMajor
    Clostridium perfringensMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBModerateModerate
    Cl difficile cytotoxinMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftNegligibleNegligible
    VTEC O157ExtrapolatedAMeasuredIMeasuredBExtrapolatedAMeasuredI,JMeasuredDMeasuredI,JIncidenceNegligibleModerate
    Non O157 VTECInferred*JInferred*Inferred*Inferred*Inferred*Inferred*Inferred*IncidenceNegligibleNegligible
    Other Escherichia coliMeasuredA,FInferred†Inferred†MeasuredFMeasuredDMeasuredDMeasuredDPathogenicityMajorModerate
    Listeria monocytogenesExtrapolatedHMeasuredHInferredKExtrapolatedHMeasuredHMeasuredDMeasuredHIncidenceNegligibleModerate
    Salmonellas non-typhoidalMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBModerateMajor
    S paratyphiExtrapolatedAMeasuredAInferredKExtrapolatedAMeasuredDMeasuredDInferredKIncidenceNegligibleNegligible
    S enterica typhiExtrapolatedAMeasuredAInferredKExtrapolatedAMeasuredDMeasuredDInferredKIncidenceNegligibleNegligible
    Shigella sppMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBMinorNegligible
    Staphylococcus aureusMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBMinorNegligible
    Vibrio cholerae O1/O139ExtrapolatedAMeasuredAn/c-nian/c-nian/c-nian/c-nian/c-niaNoneNone
    V cholerae non O1/O139MeasuredA,FMeasuredAInferredKMeasuredFInferredKMeasuredDInferredKFoodborne %NegligibleNegligible
    Other vibrio speciesMeasuredA,FMeasuredAInferredKMeasuredFInferredKMeasuredDInferredKFoodborne %NegligibleNegligible
    Yersinia sppMeasuredA,FMeasuredAInferredKMeasuredFInferredKMeasuredDInferredKPathogenicityMajorModerate
Parasites
    Cryptosporidium parvumMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBMinorMinor
    Cyclospora cayatenensisInferredKMeasuredAInferredKInferred‡InferredKInferred‡InferredKIncidenceNegligibleNegligible
    Giardia duodenalisMeasuredA,FMeasuredAInferredKMeasuredFMeasuredDMeasuredDMeasuredBFoodborne %NegligibleNegligible
Viruses
    Adenovirus 40/41MeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftNegligibleNegligible
    AstrovirusMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBNegligibleNegligible
    NLVMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBMajorModerate
    RotavirusMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBModerateModerate
    SLVMeasuredA,FMeasuredAMeasuredBn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftn/c-nftModerateModerate
Unknown agentsMeasuredA,C,FInferred§MeasuredBMeasuredFMeasuredBMeasuredDMeasuredBIndigenous %MajorMajor