Table 4

 Five year cumulative rates (95% CI) of therapeutic intervention in the patients referred to our unit more than three months after diagnosis of Crohn’s disease (group 2, n = 2008)

Cohort 1978–82Cohort 1983–87Cohort 1988–92Cohort 1993–97Cohort 1998–2002Log rank p value
Patients (n)218342486563399
IS therapy
Cumulative probability (95% CI)0.04 (0.02–0.08)0.14 (0.10–0.18)0.27 (0.23–0.32)0.45 (0.40–0.50)0.63 (0.49–0.76)<0.00001
Patients at risk (n)19527829620317
Intestinal resection
Cumulative probability (95% CI)0.36 (0.29–0.48)0.30 (0.25–0.35)0.32 (0.28–0.37)0.31 (0.27–0.36)0.36 (0.22–0.53)0.528
Patients at risk (n)13722727426321
Large intestinal resection
Cumulative probability (95% CI)0.29 (0.23–0.35)0.22 (0.18–0.27)0.19 (0.16–0.23)0.15 (0.11–0.19)0.12 (0.05–0.28)<0.00001
Patients at risk (n)14525032131027
Definitive stoma
Cumulative probability (95% CI)0.01 (0–0.03)0.02 (0.01–0.04)0.02 (0.01–0.04)0.02 (0.01–0.04)0.02 (0–0.13)0.72
Patients at risk (n)20231538735533