Gastroenterology

Gastroenterology

Volume 118, Issue 1, January 2000, Pages 138-144
Gastroenterology

Liver, Pancreas, and Biliary Tract
Determinants of mortality in patients with advanced cirrhosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting,☆☆

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0016-5085(00)70422-7Get rights and content

Abstract

Background & Aims: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is effective in the treatment of complications of portal hypertension. This study evaluated the predictors of mortality in a group of cirrhotic patients with advanced liver disease after placement of TIPS. Methods: A retrospective analysis of all patients undergoing TIPS placement over a 2 ½-year period was undertaken.A retrospective analysis of all patients undergoing TIPS placement over a 2 ½-year period was undertaken. Results: Fifty-six patients had TIPS placement for variceal hemorrhage, 49 for refractory ascites, and 24 for hepatic hydrothorax (total, 129). Of 21 variables available before TIPS placement, variceal hemorrhage requiring emergent TIPS placement (relative risk [RR], 37.5;95% confidence interval [CI], 5.4-259) and bilirubin concentration > 3.0 mg/dL (RR, 5.4;95% CI, 1.4-10.2) were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. Variceal hemorrhage requiring emergent TIPS placement (hazard ratio [HR], 5.1, 95% CI, 2.2-9.1), alanine aminotransferase level > 100 IU/L (HR, 2.5;95% CI, 1.2-5.5), bilirubin level > 3.0 mg/dL (HR, 2.6;95% CI, 1.1-4.6), and pre-TIPS encephalopathy unrelated to bleeding (HR, 2.2;95% CI, 1.2-4.8) independently predicted death during the follow-up period. A model was developed that separated the patients into 3 groups with significantly different survival rates. Conclusions: A clinical index consisting of 4 pre-TIPS variables can reliably predict outcome after TIPS.

GASTROENTEROLOGY 2000;118:138-144

Section snippets

Materials and methods

The study was a retrospective analysis of all patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS placement from July 1, 1994, through December 31, 1996, at Emory University Hospital. Emory University Hospital is a tertiary care facility located in Atlanta, Georgia, and serves as a referral center for the southeastern United States. The TIPS procedures were performed using techniques previously described in detail.3, 5 Informed consent was obtained for every TIPS procedure. In general, the patency of

Results

During the study period, 147 patients underwent TIPS placement. Eighteen patients were excluded from this analysis (veno-occlusive disease, 6; splenorenal shunt soon after TIPS placement, 4; preoperative correction of portal hypertension for cardiac surgery, 2; hepatoma at the time of TIPS, 1; no follow-up, 5). The remaining 129 patients are the subjects of this report. Selected characteristics of the study group are shown in Table 1.

. Selected characteristics of the study group

Age (yr)54.8 ±

Discussion

In a monograph on TIPS by Conn et al.,29 the authors note that TIPS is a technology whose time has come; however, they also caution that its place in medicine is yet to be determined. Although evidence increasingly demonstrates the effectiveness of TIPS in the management of complications of portal hypertension, there is also evidence that TIPS has little effect on prognosis compared with other forms of therapy.12, 14, 17, 18, 19 If clinical factors that accurately predict outcome after TIPS

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    Thomas D. Boyer, M.D., Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, 1639 Pierce Drive, Room 2101 WMB, Atlanta, Georgia 30322. e-mail: [email protected]; fax: (404) 727-5767.

    ☆☆

    Supported in part by National Institutes of Health grant DK50680.

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