Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis in Japan. Analysis of infectious hepatitis viruses

Cancer. 1994 Oct 15;74(8):2234-8. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(19941015)74:8<2234::aid-cncr2820740805>3.0.co;2-6.

Abstract

Background: The development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated closely with cirrhosis. In the present study, the cumulative risk of HCC in patients with cirrhosis was investigated.

Methods: A total of 401 patients were registered from April 1977 and followed for a mean of 4.4 years. Of 401 patients, 255 (64%) were tested for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and antibody (anti-) to the hepatitis C virus (HCV); 87 (34%) patients were positive for HBsAg but were negative for anti-HCV (hepatitis B virus [HBV] group), 126 (49%) were negative for HBsAg but were positive for anti-HCV (HCV group), 10 (4%) were positive for both and 32 (13%) were negative for both (non-B non-C group).

Results: By the end of March 1993, HCC was diagnosed in 127 (31.6%) patients. The cumulative risk of HCC in the HCV group was slightly higher than that in HBV group (P = 0.3, 5-year risk: 36.9 versus 21.2%). In contrast, the rate was significantly lower in the non-B non-C group than in the HBV or HCV groups (P < 0.05 and P < 0.01, respectively, 5 year risk: 12.4%).

Conclusions: These results suggest that not only HBV infection but also HCV infection increase the risk for HCC in patients with cirrhosis.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / epidemiology*
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / etiology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Hepacivirus / immunology
  • Hepatitis B / complications*
  • Hepatitis B / immunology
  • Hepatitis B virus / immunology
  • Hepatitis C / complications*
  • Hepatitis C / immunology
  • Humans
  • Japan / epidemiology
  • Liver Cirrhosis / complications*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / virology
  • Liver Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Liver Neoplasms / etiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Risk Factors
  • Serologic Tests