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IDDF2024-ABS-0425 Premature mortality trends in gallbladder cancer: a global assessment
  1. Junjie Huang1,
  2. Wenxin Tian1,
  3. Claire Chenwen Zhong1,
  4. Yu Li1,
  5. Junjie Hang2,
  6. Jinqiu Yuan3,
  7. Wanghong Xu4,
  8. Zhi-Jie Zheng5,
  9. Mellissa Withers6,
  10. Martin CS Wong1
  1. 1The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
  2. 2Cancer Hospital and Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, China
  3. 3The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, China
  4. 4Fudan University, China
  5. 5Peking University, China
  6. 6University of Southern California, USA

Abstract

Background Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an aggressive malignancy with poor survival outcomes due to limited treatment options and late-stage detection. This study examined the global burden and temporal trends of premature mortality from GBC.

Methods Data were obtained from the World Health Organization mortality database and the Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) database. Premature mortality (ages 30-69 years) was assessed using age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) based on the SEER*Stat standard world population. Temporal trends in GBC premature mortality were evaluated using joinpoint regression, calculating the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Analyses were stratified by age group (younger: 30-49 years; older: 50-69 years), sex, and Human Development Index (HDI) region.

Results Globally, there were 44,573 premature deaths from GBC in 2022. The overall ASMR for GBC premature mortality was 1.2 per 100,000, with a higher rate among females than males (1.6 vs. 0.87 per 100,000). Medium HDI regions had the highest premature ASMR of 2.4, surpassing the global level. The premature ASMRs for South-Central Asia, Northern Africa, and Melanesia were also higher than the global average (2.5, 1.4, and 1.3 per 100,000, respectively). Temporal trend analysis identified increasing premature mortality in 12 countries, with the largest increases observed in Iran (22.19%, 95% CI: 11.08-34.42, p<0.001), Antigua and Barbuda (17.43%, 95% CI: 14.04-20.92, p<0.001), and Greece (16.46%, 95% CI: 6.70-27.11, p<0.001). The upward trends were more pronounced in females and the older age group (50-69 years).

Conclusions This study revealed concerning upward trends in premature mortality from GBC, particularly among females and older adults. Further investigation into the contributing factors is crucial for informing healthcare planning and interventions to address this public health challenge.

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