RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Two-dimensional shear wave elastography predicts survival in advanced chronic liver disease JF Gut JO Gut FD BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and British Society of Gastroenterology SP gutjnl-2020-323419 DO 10.1136/gutjnl-2020-323419 A1 Jonel Trebicka A1 Wenyi Gu A1 Victor de Ledinghen A1 Christophe Aubé A1 Aleksander Krag A1 Michael Praktiknjo A1 Laurent Castera A1 Jerome Dumortier A1 David Josef Maria Bauer A1 Mireen Friedrich-Rust A1 Stanislas Pol A1 Ivica Grgurevic A1 Rongqin Zheng A1 Sven Francque A1 Halima Gottfriedovà A1 Sanda Mustapic A1 Ioan Sporea A1 Annalisa Berzigotti A1 Frank Erhard Uschner A1 Benedikt Simbrunner A1 Maxime Ronot A1 Christophe Cassinotto A1 Maria Kjaergaard A1 Filipe Andrade A1 Martin Schulz A1 Georg Semmler A1 Ida Tjesic Drinkovic A1 Johannes Chang A1 Maximilian Joseph Brol A1 Pierre Emmanuel Rautou A1 Thomas Vanwolleghem A1 Christian P Strassburg A1 Jerome Boursier A1 Philip Georg Ferstl A1 Ditlev Nytoft Rasmussen A1 Thomas Reiberger A1 Valerie Vilgrain A1 Aymeric Guibal A1 Olivier Guillaud A1 Stefan Zeuzem A1 Camille Vassord A1 Xue Lu A1 Luisa Vonghia A1 Renata Senkerikova A1 Alina Popescu A1 Cristina Margini A1 Wenping Wang A1 Maja Thiele A1 Chrisitan Jansen YR 2021 UL http://gut.bmj.com/content/early/2021/01/20/gutjnl-2020-323419.abstract AB Objective Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a tool used to screen for significant fibrosis and portal hypertension. The aim of this retrospective multicentre study was to develop an easy tool using LSM for clinical outcomes in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients.Design This international multicentre cohort study included a derivation ACLD patient cohort with valid two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) results. Clinical and laboratory parameters at baseline and during follow-up were recorded. LSM by transient elastography (TE) was also recorded if available. The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcome was the development of first/further decompensation.Results After screening 2148 patients (16 centres), 1827 patients (55 years, 62.4% men) were included in the 2D-SWE cohort, with median liver SWE (L-SWE) 11.8 kPa and a model for end stage liver disease (MELD) score of 8. Combination of MELD score and L-SWE predict independently of mortality (AUC 0.8). L-SWE cut-off at ≥20 kPa combined with MELD ≥10 could stratify the risk of mortality and first/further decompensation in ACLD patients. The 2-year mortality and decompensation rates were 36.9% and 61.8%, respectively, in the 305 (18.3%) high-risk patients (with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10), while in the 944 (56.6%) low-risk patients, these were 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Importantly, this M10LS20 algorithm was validated by TE-based LSM and in an additional cohort of 119 patients with valid point shear SWE-LSM.Conclusion The M10LS20 algorithm allows risk stratification of patients with ACLD. Patients with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10 should be followed closely and receive intensified care, while patients with low risk may be managed at longer intervals.