Table 2

 Features that may predict a severe attack, present within 48 hours of admission to hospital

Modified from the World Association guidelines.3
Initial assessmentClinical impression of severity
Body mass index >30
Pleural effusion on chest radiograph
APACHE II score >8
24 h after admissionClinical impression of severity
APACHE II score >8
Glasgow score 3 or more
Persisting organ failure, especially if multiple
C reactive protein >150 mg/l
48 h after admissionClinical impression of severity
Glasgow score 3 or more
C reactive protein >150 mg/l
Persisting organ failure for 48 h
Multiple or progressive organ failure