Table 2 Estimated 10 year cumulative risk of colorectal cancer among women and men with advanced adenomas at various ages
SexAge (y)10 year cumulative risk (%)
Main analysis Q = 0.85 D = 3.6yOne-way sensitivity analyses
Q = 0.70Q = 1.00D = 2yD = 5y
Women5525.421.529.222.927.3
6031.226.535.628.133.5
6536.231.041.133.438.3
7041.035.246.238.143.0
7543.337.448.741.844.5
8042.937.048.342.743.0
Men5525.221.329.022.527.2
6030.726.135.027.932.7
6533.928.938.632.435.1
7035.230.040.034.335.8
7538.032.543.036.938.7
8039.734.044.838.940.2
  • The proportion of colorectal cancers (CRC) arising from polypoid adenomas Q and the duration from CRC onset to CRC detection D are set to 0.85 and 3.6 years, respectively, in the main analyses, and they are varied between 0.7 and 1.0 and between 2 and 5 years, respectively, in the sensitivity analyses.