Table 3

Risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in 818 patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B treated with nucleos(t)ide analogue(s) therapy starting with lamivudine monotherapy. Results of univariable Cox regression analyses

Risk factorChronic hepatitis B onlyCirrhosisAll patients
HR (95% CI)p ValueHR (95% CI)p ValueHR (95% CI)p Value
Age, per year1.10 (1.05 to 1.15)<0.0011.06 (1.02 to 1.11)0.0071.10 (1.07 to 1.13)<0.001
Age
 <50 years110.003
 50–60 years11.00 (1.38 to 87.95)0.0241*20.51 (2.73 to 154.08)<0.001
 >60 years22.24 (2.87 to 172.36)0.0032.88 (1.17 to 7.08)0.02144.38 (6.05 to 325.61)
Gender
 Female111
 Male3.74 (0.87 to 16.13)0.0771.53 (0.52 to 4.53)0.4401.99 (0.93 to 4.25)0.076
ALT, per 10 IU/l1.00 (0.98 to 1.02)0.9220.95 (0.90 to 1.01)0.1090.99 (0.96 to 1.01)0.295
AST, per 10 IU/l1.01 (0.99 to 1.03)0.4120.96 (0.90 to 1.04)0.3011.00 (0.97 to 1.03)0.985
Bilirubin, per mg/dl0.95 (0.59 to 1.54)0.8430.98 (0.86 to 1.12)0.7770.99 (0.88 to 1.11)0.833
Albumin, per g/dl0.83 (0.41 to 1.72)0.6210.55 (0.26 to 1.15)0.1140.59 (0.35 to 0.99)0.044
Haemoglobin, per g/dl0.79 (0.58 to 1.06)0.1120.70 (0.52 to 0.93)0.0150.71 (0.58 to 0.87)0.001
Platelet count, per 109/l0.90 (0.81 to 0.99)0.0261.02 (0.94 to 1.10)0.6640.94 (0.88 to 1.00)0.039
HBV DNA, per 103 IU/ml1.00 (0.99 to 1.00)0.9400.99 (1.00 to 1.01)0.8171.00 (0.99 to 1.00)0.786
IFNα in the past
 Yes10.98010.25210.273
 No1.01 (0.41 to 2.48)1.74 (0.68 to 4.46)1.41 (0.76 to 2.59)
Liver disease severityNA
 Chronic hepatitis B only1
 Compensated cirrhosis12.62 (1.34 to 5.11)0.005
 Decompensated cirrhosis2.12 (0.86 to 5.24)0.1055.99 (2.51 to 14.29)<0.001
Virological remission under therapy
 Yes111
 No5.14 (0.69 to 38.47)0.1110.64 (0.26 to 1.58)0.3312.04 (0.49 to 8.33)0.322
  • * In cirrhotic patients, cases ≤60 years were grouped together, as there was no HCC in cases <50 years and therefore HR with 95% CI could not be reliably estimated.

  • ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; HBV, hepatitis B virus; IFNα, interferon α; NA, not applicable.