Table 3

Goodness of fit of models including parameters for age, age-drift, age-period, age-cohort and age-period-cohort*

Country	Age		Age-drift†			Age-period‡			Age-cohort‡			Age-period-cohort§
Country	Deviance	df	Deviance	df	p Value	Deviance	df	p Value	Deviance	df	p Value	Deviance	df	p Value
Australia	792.2	514	1210.6	513	<0.0001	1101.2	510	<0.0001	1197.7	510	0.005	1083.2	507	0.01
Denmark	2748.8	1094	1395.8	1093	<0.0001	1183.8	1090	<0.0001	1321.6	1090	<0.0001	1176.1	1087	0.26
England	21 739.9	774	3125.3	773	<0.0001	2517.1	770	<0.0001	2605.1	770	<0.0001	2251.6	767	<0.0001
Finland	1673.9	1074	1142.7	1073	<0.0001	1076.9	1070	<0.0001	1128.8	1070	0.003	1054.6	1067	0.001
Norway	2342.0	1094	1001.6	1093	<0.0001	964.9	1090	<0.0001	996.2	1090	0.15	962.1	1087	0.84
Scotland	2261.3	694	1168.6	693	<0.0001	1081.2	690	<0.0001	1143.4	690	<0.0001	1070.1	687	0.09
Sweden	2656.2	994	1192.4	993	<0.0001	1134.4	990	<0.0001	1170.9	990	<0.0001	1128.1	987	0.39
USA: Atlanta	684.8	674	564.5	673	<0.0001	545.3	670	0.0002	555.1	670	0.02	541.9	667	0.77
USA: Connecticut	1470.1	714	867.4	713	<0.0001	822.7	710	<0.0001	847.5	710	0.0002	813.8	707	0.18
USA: Detroit	1522.0	714	802.8	713	<0.0001	774.4	710	<0.0001	784.1	710	0.0003	764.0	707	0.11
USA: Hawaii	503.1	714	395.2	713	<0.0001	390.6	710	0.20	393.5	710	0.64	389.8	707	0.99
USA: Iowa	1633.8	714	779.5	713	<0.0001	746.5	710	<0.0001	774.9	710	0.20	744.8	707	0.95
USA: New Mexico	842.2	714	638.9	713	<0.0001	605.1	710	<0.0001	634.4	710	0.21	603.9	707	0.98
USA: San Francisco	1139.5	714	775.1	713	<0.0001	681.9	710	<0.0001	770.2	710	0.18	681.1	707	0.99
USA: Seattle	1102.9	694	715.5	693	<0.0001	668.9	690	<0.0001	691.3	690	<0.0001	659.3	687	0.14
USA: Utah	772.9	714	578.0	713	<0.0001	567.8	710	0.02	570.2	710	0.05	561.8	707	0.42

* df denotes degrees of freedom. p Values were computed using log-likelihood tests, assuming a χ² distribution with the number of degrees of freedom corresponding to the difference in degrees of freedom of the two compared models. A higher lower deviance implies a better representation of the data.
† In comparison with the age model.
‡ Both compared with the age-drift model.
§ Compared with the age-period model.