Table 3

Performance of ultrasound scanning and liver function tests according to pre-test probability34

Test (cut-off)Summary sensitivity
(95% CI)
Summary specificity
(95% CI)
Pre-test probabilityPositive post-test probability
(95% CI)
Negative post-test probability
(95% CI)
Ultrasound0.73 (0.44 to 0.90)0.91 (0.84 to 0.95)0.0950.45 (0.31 to 0.60)0.03 (0.01 to 0.07)
0.4080.85 (0.75 to 0.91)0.17 (0.08 to 0.33)
0.6580.94 (0.89 to 0.97)0.37 (0.20 to 0.58)
Bilirubin (>22.23 μmol/L)0.84 (0.64 to 0.94)0.91 (0.86 to 0.94)0.0950.49 (0.38 to 0.59)0.02 (0.01 to 0.04)
Bilirubin (>twice the normal limit)0.42 (0.22 to 0.63)0.97 (0.95 to 0.99)0.0950.63 (0.41 to 0.81)0.06 (0.04 to 0.08)
Alkaline phosphatase (>125 IU/L)0.92 (0.74 to 0.99)0.79 (0.74 to 0.84)0.0950.32 (0.26 to 0.38)0.01 (0.00 to 0.04)
Alkaline phosphatase (>twice the normal limit)0.38 (0.19 to 0.59)0.97 (0.95 to 0.99)0.0950.61 (0.38 to 0.80)0.06 (0.05 to 0.08)