Table 6

Predictors of serious infections in the phase 3 safety population

Variable*Patients†Serious infectionsAdjusted results
HR (95% CI)p Value
UC phase 3 populationn=1114n=59
 Age, mean years±SD40.4±13.442.1±15.11.00 (0.98 to 1.02)0.98
 Sex, female, n (%)462 (42)28 (48)1.10 (0.65 to 1.85)0.72
 Disease duration ≥7 years, n (%)404 (36)22 (37)0.94 (0.54 to 1.63)0.82
 Prior anti-TNF therapy failure, n (%)483 (45)33 (56)1.99 (1.16 to 3.42)0.0122
 Baseline disease activity, mean Mayo score±SD5.9±1.85.9±1.60.96 (0.82 to 1.12)0.56
 On-study narcotic use, n (%)323 (29)34 (58)2.68 (1.57 to 4.58)0.0003
 On-study corticosteroid use, n (%)430 (39)22 (37)1.58 (0.92 to 2.71)0.10
 Baseline immunosuppressive use, n (%)359 (32)24 (41)1.68 (0.98 to 2.87)0.06
 Vedolizumab treatment, n (%)‡1077 (97)56 (95)N/AN/A
CD phase 3 populationn=1770n=148
 Age, mean years±SD36.8±12.534.6±11.80.97 (0.95 to 0.98)<0.0001
 Sex, female, n (%)974 (55)88 (60)1.30 (0.93 to 1.82)0.12
 Disease duration ≥7 years, n (%)929 (53)84 (57)1.18 (0.82 to 1.68)0.37
 Prior anti-TNF therapy failure, n (%)1127 (64)95 (65)0.82 (0.57 to 1.19)0.30
 Baseline disease activity, mean HBI score±SD11.0±3.610.9±3.41.01 (0.96 to 1.06)0.70
 On-study narcotic use, n (%)731 (41)96 (65)2.72 (1.90 to 3.89)<0.0001
 On-study corticosteroid use, n (%)708 (40)66 (45)1.88 (1.35 to 2.63)0.0002
 Baseline immunosuppressive use, n (%)558 (32)41 (28)0.78 (0.54 to 1.13)0.19
 Vedolizumab treatment, n (%)‡1712 (97)144 (97)N/AN/A
Combined phase 3 populationN=2884n=207
 Age, mean years±SD38.2±13.036.8±13.20.98 (0.97 to 1.00)0.0003
 Sex, female, n (%)1436 (50)116 (56)1.28 (0.97 to 1.69)0.09
 Disease duration ≥7 years, n (%)1333 (46)106 (51)1.12 (0.84 to 1.50)0.44
 Prior anti-TNF therapy failure, n (%)1610 (57)128 (62)1.19 (0.88 to 1.62)0.26
 Baseline disease activity, mean score±SD§5.7±1.85.6±1.70.98 (0.91 to 1.07)0.68
 On-study narcotic use, n (%)1054 (37)130 (63)2.76 (2.06 to 3.72)<0.0001
 On-study corticosteroid use, n (%)1138 (40)88 (43)1.72 (1.30 to 2.28)0.0002
 Baseline immunosuppressive use, n (%)917 (32)65 (31)0.97 (0.72 to 1.31)0.86
 Vedolizumab treatment, n (%)‡2789 (97)200 (97)N/AN/A
  • *Baseline values are reported for the combined placebo-treated and vedolizumab-treated population with the exception of corticosteroid use. On-study corticosteroid use was defined by corticosteroid use within 30 days before infection date.

  • †Includes placebo-exposed and vedolizumab-exposed patients.

  • ‡Vedolizumab was not included as a covariate in the model because nearly all patients in the study population (97%) were exposed to vedolizumab.

  • §The baseline disease activity common index ranges from 0 to 9 and allows for pooling UC and CD disease activity markers.

  • anti-TNF, tumour necrosis factor α antagonist; CD, Crohn's disease; HBI, Harvey-Bradshaw index; N/A, not applicable; SD, standard deviation; UC, ulcerative colitis.