Table 4

Final multivariate model showing predictors associated with colorectal neoplasia

VariablesHR (95% CI)P value
Cumulative inflammatory burden
Endoscopic*2.1 (1.5 to 2.9)<0.001
Histological*2.1 (1.4 to 3.0)<0.001
Macroscopic features of chronicity
Scarring only1.4 (0.8 to 2.4)0.3
Tubular, featureless or shortened colon1.8 (1.1 to 2.9)0.03
Postinflammatory polyps1.2 (0.8 to 1.8)0.4
Colonic stricture3.2 (1.3 to 8.0)0.01
Chromoendoscopy1.0 (0.6 to 1.7)1.0
Primary sclerosing cholangitis2.3 (1.1 to 4.7)0.02
Age (at colonoscopy)1.02 (1.00 to 1.04)0.03
Average number of biopsies1.14 (1.08 to 1.20)<0.001
Average surveillance interval0.93 (0.91 to 0.96)<0.001
  • *HR per 10-unit increase in cumulative inflammatory burden (equivalent of 10, 5 or 3.3 years of continuous mild, moderate or severe active disease, respectively). Statistically significant variables are highlighted in bold.