Table 3

Subanalysis of paired biliary brushings, biliary biopsies, distal bile duct strictures, primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and repeat testing

ParameterSensitivity, n (95% CI)Specificity, n (95% CI)PPV, n (95% CI)NPV, n (95% CI)AUC, n (95% CI)
Paired biliary brushings (n=132)
 Pathological evaluation35 (0.25 to 0.46)98 (0.88 to 1.00)97 (0.81 to 1.00)46 (0.36 to 0.56)0.66 (0.57 to 0.75)
 BiliSeq testing71 (0.60 to 0.81)100 (0.91 to 1.00)100 (0.93 to 1.00)67 (0.54 to 0.77)0.86 (0.79 to0.92)
 Pathological evaluation and BiliSeq testing81 (0.71 to 0.88)98 (0.88 to 1.00)99 (0.91 to 1.00)75 (0.62 to 0.84)0.89 (0.84 to 0.95)
Paired biliary biopsies (n=114)
 Pathological evaluation52 (0.41 to 0.62)100 (0.85 to 1.00)100 (0.90 to 1.00)38 (0.27 to 0.51)0.76 (0.68 to 0.85)
 BiliSeq testing75 (0.65 to 0.84)100 (0.85 to 1.00)100 (0.93 to 1.00)55 (0.40 to 0.70)0.88 (0.82 to 0.94)
 Pathological evaluation and BiliSeq testing84 (0.74 to 0.91)100 (0.84 to 1.00)100 (0.94 to 1.00)65 (0.48 to 0.79)0.92 (0.87 to 0.97)
Distal bile duct strictures (n=61)
 Pathological evaluation of biliary specimens59 (0.42 to 0.73)95 (0.73 to 1.00)96 (0.78 to 1.00)53 (0.36 to 0.69)0.68 (0.55 to 0.82)
 EUS-FNA of biliary stricture58 (0.42 to 0.73)100 (0.80 to 1.00)100 (0.83 to 1.00)54 (0.37 to 0.70)0.79 (0.68 to 0.90)
 BiliSeq testing76 (0.59 to 0.87)100 (0.80 to 1.00)100 (0.86 to 1.00)67 (0.47 to 0.82)0.88 (0.79 to 0.96)
 Pathological evaluation (biliary specimens) and BiliSeq testing90 (0.76 to 0.97)95 (0.73 to 1.00)97 (0.85 to 1.00)83 (0.61 to 0.94)0.93 (0.85 to 1.00)
 Pathological evaluation (biliary and EUS-FNA) and BiliSeq testing93 (0.79 to 0.98)95 (0.73 to 1.00)97 (0.85 to 1.00)86 (0.64 to 0.96)0.94 (0.87 to 1.00)
PSC patients (n=37)
 Elevated CA19-9 (n=37)*67 (0.35 to 0.89)84 (0.63 to 0.95)57 (0.30 to 0.81)83 (0.61 to 0.94)0.71 (0.53 to 0.90)
 Pathological evaluation of biliary brushings/biopsies8 (0.01 to 0.40)100 (0.83 to 1.00)100 (0.06 to 1.00)69 (0.52 to 0.83)0.54 (0.34–0.75)
 BiliSeq testing83 (0.51 to 0.98)100 (0.83 to 1.00)100 (0.66 to 1.00)93 (0.74 to 0.99)0.92 (0.79–1.00)
 Elevated CA19-9* and BiliSeq testing92 (0.60 to 1.00)84 (0.63 to 0.95)65 (0.39 to 0.85)95 (0.73 to 1.00)0.84 (0.70–0.98)
 Pathological evaluation and BiliSeq testing83 (0.51 to 0.98)100 (0.83 to 1.00)100 (0.66 to 1.00)93 (0.74 to 0.99)0.92 (0.79 to 1.00)
 Elevated CA19-9*, pathological evaluation and BiliSeq testing92 (0.60 to 1.00)84 (0.63 to 0.95)65 (0.39 to 0.85)95 (0.73 to 1.00)0.84 (0.70 to 0.98)
Repeat ERCP and biomarker testing (n=220)
 Pathological evaluation of biliary brushings/biopsies51 (0.43 to 0.60)99 (0.91 to 1.00)99 (0.92 to 1.00)49 (0.40 to 0.57)0.75 (0.69 to 0.81)
 BiliSeq testing75 (0.68 to 0.82)100 (0.94 to 1.00)100 (0.96 to 1.00)65 (0.56 to 0.74)0.88 (0.83 to 0.92)
 Pathological evaluation and BiliSeq testing87 (0.80 to 0.92)99 (0.91 to 1.00)99 (0.95 to 1.00)78 (0.67 to 0.85)0.93 (0.89 to 0.96)
  • *On the basis of cases where serum CA19-9 was performed concurrently where elevated CA19-9 was defined as >129 U/mL.

  • AUC, area under the curve; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19–9; ERCP, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography; EUS-FNA, endoscopic ultrasound-fine needle aspiration; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; PSC, primary sclerosing cholangitis.