Table 3

Diagnostic performance of StrPerimeter and NoLongStr in the training and validation cohorts

Training cohort (n=206)Validation cohort (n=138)
VariablesStrPerimeterNoLongStrCombinedStrPerimeterNoLongStrCombined
Cut-off for F2–F4≥3.01≥0.0046≥/< both cut-offs (92.7%)≥3.01≥0.0046≥/< both cut-offs (97.1%)
 F0–F1, n151410/99171716/60
 F2–F4, n828078/4555353/5
 Sensitivity (%)93.2 (85.2–97.2)90.9 (82.4–95.7)95.1 (87.3–98.4)91.7 (80.9–96.9)88.3 (76.8–94.8)91.4 (80.3–96.8)
 Specificity (%)87.3 (79.6–92.5)88.1 (80.6–93.1)90.8 (83.4–95.3)78.2 (67.1–86.4)78.2 (67.1–86.4)78.9 (67.8–87.1)
 Positive predictive value (%)84.5 (75.5–90.8)85.1 (75.9–91.3)88.6 (79.7–94.1)76.4 (64.7–85.3)75.7 (63.7–84.8)76.8 (64.8–85.8)
 Negative predictive value (%)94.5 (87.9–97.7)92.9 (86.0–96.6)96.1 (89.8–98.7)92.4 (82.5–97.2)89.7 (79.3–95.4)92.3 (82.2–97.1)
 Positive likelihood ratio7.33 (4.55–11.80)7.66 (4.67–12.58)10.37 (5.73–18.76)4.21 (2.74–6.45)4.05 (2.64–6.23)4.34 (2.79–6.76)
 Negative likelihood ratio0.08 (0.04–0.17)0.10 (0.05–0.20)0.05 (0.02–0.14)0.11 (0.05–0.25)0.15 (0.07–0.30)0.11 (0.05–0.25)
Cut-off for F3–F4≥3.77≥0.0056≥/< both cut-offs (96.6%)≥3.77≥0.0056≥/< both cut-offs (93.5%)
 F0–F2, n181715/124172115/73
 F3–F4, n545453/7403939/2
 Sensitivity (%)87.1 (75.6–93.9)87.1 (75.6–93.9)88.3 (76.8–94.8)95.2 (82.6–99.2)92.9 (79.4–98.1)95.1 (82.2–99.2)
 Specificity (%)87.5 (80.7–92.2)88.2 (81.5–92.8)89.2 (82.5–93.6)82.3 (72.9–89.1)78.1 (68.3–85.7)83.0 (73.1–89.8)
 Positive predictive value (%)75.0 (63.2–84.1)76.1 (64.2–85.1)77.9 (65.9–86.7)70.2 (56.4–81.2)65.0 (51.5–76.6)72.2 (58.1–83.1)
 Negative predictive value (%)94.0 (88.2–97.2)94.1 (88.3–97.2)94.7 (88.9–97.6)97.5 (90.5–99.6)96.2 (88.4–99.0)97.3 (89.8–99.5)
 Positive likelihood ratio6.97 (4.48–10.85)7.38 (4.67–11.65)8.19 (5.03–13.32)5.38 (3.48–8.32)4.24 (2.88–6.25)5.58 (3.50–8.89)
 Negative likelihood ratio0.15 (0.08–0.28)0.15 (0.08–0.28)0.13 (0.07–0.26)0.06 (0.01–0.22)0.09 (0.03–0.27)0.06 (0.02–0.23)
Cut-off for F4≥5.14≥0.0079≥/< both cut-offs (99.5%)≥5.14≥0.0079≥/< both cut-offs (97.1%)
 F0–F3, n161515/15710119/100
 F4, n313131/2252424/1
 Sensitivity (%)93.9 (78.4–98.9)93.9 (78.4–98.9)93.9 (78.4–98.9)96.2 (78.4–99.8)92.3 (73.4–98.7)96.0 (77.7–99.8)
 Specificity (%)90.8 (85.2–94.5)91.3 (85.8–94.9)91.3 (85.8–94.9)91.1 (83.8–95.4)90.2 (82.7–94.8)91.7 (84.5–95.9)
 Positive predictive value (%)66.0 (50.6–78.7)67.4 (51.9–80.0)67.4 (51.9–80.0)71.4 (53.5–84.8)68.6 (50.6–82.6)72.7 (54.2–86.1)
 Negative predictive value (%)98.7 (95.1–99.8)98.8 (95.1–99.8)98.7 (95.1–99.8)99.0 (93.9–99.9)98.1 (92.5–99.7)99.0 (93.8–99.9)
 Positive likelihood ratio10.16 (6.32–16.33)10.83 (6.63–17.71)10.77 (6.59–17.60)10.77 (5.93–19.55)9.40 (5.30–16.65)11.63 (6.19–21.85)
 Negative likelihood ratio0.07 (0.02–0.26)0.07 (0.02–0.25)0.07 (0.02–0.25)0.04 (0.01–0.29)0.09 (0.02–0.32)0.04 (0.01–0.30)