Original article—alimentary tract
Erosive Reflux Disease Increases Risk for Esophageal Adenocarcinoma, Compared With Nonerosive Reflux

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2011.12.038Get rights and content

Background & Aims

Gastroesophageal reflux disease is a strong risk factor for esophageal adenocarcinoma, but it is not clear whether the mucosal inflammation that develops in patients with reflux disease promotes this cancer. We determined the development of adenocarcinoma among patients who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy and were found to have erosive (with esophagitis) or nonerosive (without esophagitis) reflux.

Methods

We performed a nationwide cohort study using data from 33,849 patients with reflux disease (52% men; median age, 59.3 y) from population-based Danish medical registries, from 1996 through 2008. The observed incidences of adenocarcinoma were compared with the expected incidence for the general population, standardized by age, sex, and calendar time. Absolute risks were estimated using Kaplan–Meier methods.

Results

In the study cohort, 26,194 of the patients (77%) had erosive reflux disease and 37 subsequently developed esophageal adenocarcinoma after a mean follow-up time of 7.4 years. Their absolute risk after 10 years was 0.24% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.15%–0.32%). The incidence of cancer among patients with erosive reflux disease was significantly greater than that expected for the general population (standardized incidence ratio, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6–3.0). In contrast, of the 7655 patients with nonerosive reflux disease, only 1 was diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma after 4.5 years of follow-up evaluation (standardized incidence ratio, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.01–1.5).

Conclusions

Erosive reflux disease, but not nonerosive disease, increased the risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma, based on analysis of population-based Danish medical registries. Inflammation therefore might be an important factor in the progression from reflux to esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Section snippets

Methods

This nationwide cohort study used population-based medical registries from Denmark (5.4 million inhabitants). The Danish National Health Service provides tax-funded medical care for all Danish residents. We used the unique personal identifier assigned to each Danish citizen at birth to electronically link individuals between databases.11 The study was approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency.

Results

From 1996 to 2008 we identified 33,849 patients with reflux disease who underwent EGD within 1 month of their diagnosis. The median age was 59.3 years and 52% were men. The majority of patients were diagnosed with erosive disease (n = 26,194), and those patients were older than those in the nonerosive group (median age, 59.8 vs 58.0 y; P < .001) and more likely to be men (54% vs 43%; P < .001) (Table 1). Patients with erosive reflux disease were followed up longer than those with nonerosive

Discussion

In our large population-based cohort study we found that only erosive disease was associated with an increased risk of adenocarcinoma of the esophagus; 10 years after the diagnosis 0.24% had developed adenocarcinoma. Our findings suggest that endoscopically evident mucosal damage is important in the progression from normal mucosa to cancer and that Barrett's esophagus is likely to be an intermediate step.

Our results extend experimental evidence into clinical pathology. Esophageal adenocarcinoma

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    Conflicts of interest The authors disclose no conflicts.

    The Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, receives funding for other studies from companies in the form of research grants to (and administered by) Aarhus University. None of these studies have any relation to the present study.

    Funding This research was supported by the Clinical Epidemiology Research Foundation, Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark, and the Karen Elise Jensen foundation.

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