Gastroenterology

Gastroenterology

Volume 138, Issue 3, March 2010, Pages 922-931.e1
Gastroenterology

Clinical—Liver, Pancreas, and Biliary Tract
Adverse Outcomes in Alaska Natives Who Recovered From or Have Chronic Hepatitis C Infection

https://doi.org/10.1053/j.gastro.2009.10.056Get rights and content

Background & Aims

The factors associated with adverse outcome from hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are incompletely understood. To determine the incidence and risk factors associated with the development of end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and liver-related death (LRD), we conducted a retrospective/prospective population-based study in a cohort of Alaska Native persons chronically infected with HCV from 1994 to 2005.

Methods

We followed 960 persons prospectively for an average of 7.2 years and retrospectively for 12.1 years with data from medical records and serum samples. We compared data from subjects that were chronically infected with those who recovered from HCV infection, stratified by alcohol use. Survival models were used to examine factors associated with ESLD and LRD in chronically infected patients.

Results

During prospective follow-up, 80 (8.8%) and 47 (5.2%) patients developed ESLD and LRD, respectively. In examining incidence per 100 person-years, no difference was found among heavy alcohol users in the incidence of LRD (2.28 versus 3.50; P = .34) or ESLD (3.21 versus 5.69; P = .13) in persons with chronic HCV compared with those recovered from HCV infection. In subjects that consumed <50 g alcohol/d, the incidences of LRD were 0.77 and 0.09 (P = .01) and of ESLD were 1.58 versus 0.36 (P = .002), respectively, in subjects with chronic infection versus those that recovered. Multivariate analysis showed that older age, heavy alcohol use, and HCV genotype 3 were associated with ESLD.

Conclusions

A history of heavy alcohol use is associated with the highest incidence of LRD and ESLD, regardless of whether patients are chronically infected or recover from HCV infection.

Section snippets

Recruitment and Follow-up

Since 1992, HCV serologic testing has been available to all AN persons at the Alaska Native Medical Center in Anchorage. Alaska has a population of 660,000 persons of whom approximately 130,000 (20%) are AN persons, who are eligible to receive health care through the AN health system, a statewide tribally operated health delivery system consisting of rural health clinics, regional hospitals, and a tertiary medical center, the Alaska Native Medical Center. The characteristics of the population

Results

Among 1590 anti–HCV-positive persons, 960 (60%) consented for long-term follow-up of HCV outcomes (Figure 1). No significant differences were found in age, sex, or residence in persons who consented and persons who did not consent. These 960 persons were followed prospectively for a mean of 7.2 years and retrospectively for a mean of 12.1 years. The characteristics of the entire cohort and persons who had chronic HCV infection compared with persons who recovered are shown in Table 1. For the

Discussion

With the use of both prospective and retrospective data from a long-term, population-based cohort of AN persons with HCV infection, our study showed that alcohol consumption >50 g/d at the time of enrollment was the greatest predictor of adverse liver outcome, significantly higher than HCV infection alone. A history of heavy alcohol use was associated with the highest incidence of LRD and ESLD, regardless of whether persons were chronically infected or had recovered from HCV. Our survival

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    Conflicts of interest The authors disclose no conflicts.

    Funding Supported by the National Institutes of Health (grant AI 48214 and R01 AI 66209) and by the Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium and the Arctic Investigations Program, CDC.

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