Elevated pancreatic cyst fluid carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has been routinely used to classify mucinous cysts. This study incorporates original data that established the CEA ≥192 ng/mL threshold with over 20 years of additional data and reassesses the diagnostic performance of CEA for differentiating mucinous from non-mucinous cysts.
1169 pancreatic cysts (1999–2021) with CEA results were identified. 394 cases had histological confirmation as the diagnostic standard. Additionally, 237 cysts without histological confirmation demonstrated KRAS, GNAS, or RNF43 mutations by molecular testing and were combined with the histologically confirmed cysts for separate analysis on a total cohort of 631 cysts.
Median CEA was significantly higher in mucinous cysts (323.9 ng/mL, n=314) versus non-mucinous cysts (204.6 ng/mL, n=80) (p<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated an optimal CEA cut-off of 20 ng/mL (area under the curve: 80%), though the specificity was lower than desired (sensitivity 89%, specificity 64%). At the previously established threshold of 192 ng/mL, sensitivity and specificity were 56% and 78%, respectively. To achieve a specificity of 85% as originally reported, a CEA threshold of 250 ng/mL was needed; the 13 false positive cases at this threshold included 4 benign simple cysts, 2 squamoid cysts, 1 serous cystadenoma, 1 lymphoepithelial cyst and 5 more uncommon entities. All results remained similar within the total cohort after including additional cases with KRAS/GNAS/RNF43 mutations only.
Cyst fluid CEA continues to be a useful test in the diagnosis of mucinous pancreatic cysts but does not appear as specific as previously reported. Raising the CEA threshold to 250 ng/mL to maintain specificity for differentiating mucinous from non-mucinous cysts may be considered.
Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is commonly diagnosed at an advanced stage. Liquid biopsy approaches may facilitate detection of early stage PDAC when curative treatments can be employed.
To assess circulating marker discrimination in training, testing and validation patient cohorts (total n=426 patients), plasma markers were measured among PDAC cases and patients with chronic pancreatitis, colorectal cancer (CRC), and healthy controls. Using CA19-9 as an anchor marker, measurements were made of two protein markers (TIMP1, LRG1) and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) pancreas-specific methylation at 9 loci encompassing 61 CpG sites.
Comparative methylome analysis identified nine loci that were differentially methylated in exocrine pancreas DNA. In the training set (n=124 patients), cfDNA methylation markers distinguished PDAC from healthy and CRC controls. In the testing set of 86 early stage PDAC and 86 matched healthy controls, CA19-9 had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.94), which was increased by adding TIMP1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.06), LRG1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02) or exocrine pancreas-specific cfDNA methylation markers at nine loci (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02). In the validation set of 40 early stage PDAC and 40 matched healthy controls, a combined panel including CA19-9, TIMP1 and a 9-loci cfDNA methylation panel had greater discrimination (AUC 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.95) than CA19-9 alone (AUC 0.82; 95% CI 0.72 to 0.92).
A combined panel of circulating markers including proteins and methylated cfDNA increased discrimination compared with CA19-9 alone for early stage PDAC.